Canadian Dollar is currently the stronger currency on macro fundamentals, Swiss Franc the weaker - which maps to a bullish lean on CAD/CHF.
Last updated 31 Aug, 18:30 UTC · refreshes dailyDivergence = CAD score - CHF score = +54.9
20/50/200 EMA alignment - is the trend stacked bullish or bearish?
How large institutional traders are positioned in CFTC futures data.
Recent price velocity - is the move accelerating or fading?
Effective interest rate gap - structural flow toward higher yield.
Historical calendar-month tendency, weighted by how consistent it has been across ~27 years.
Both CAD and CHF are scored -100 to +100 on these five layers; the difference between their composites sets the CAD/CHF label. Full formulas on the methodology page.
As of the latest daily update, the CAD/CHF fundamental bias is bullish with medium confidence. The bias comes from comparing the two currencies' composite macro scores: Canadian Dollar versus Swiss Franc across COT positioning, EMA trend structure, momentum, interest-rate differentials, and seasonality.
Each currency gets a -100 to +100 composite score from five weighted layers: EMA structure (32%), COT positioning (27%), momentum (18%), rate differentials (13%), and seasonality (10%). The CAD/CHF bias is the divergence: CAD score minus CHF score. A large positive divergence reads bullish, a large negative one bearish. The full formula is public on the methodology page.
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