USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
Reading COT positioning...Checking the trend...Measuring momentum...Weighing interest rates...Ranking 28 pairs...
Japanese Yen is the stronger currency on macro fundamentals right now, and Canadian Dollar the weaker. That maps to a strongly bearish lean on CAD/JPY.
Strong bear
JPY
CAD
Full scores for Canadian Dollar and Japanese Yen, all five layers included, are on the free meter right now. Pro adds this pair's divergence, the other 22 rankings, COT history and 30-day charts.
Both CAD and JPY are scored -100 to +100 on these five layers. The gap between them sets the label. Full formulas on the methodology page.
20/50/200 EMA alignment: is the trend stacked bullish or bearish?
How large speculators are positioned in CFTC futures data.
Recent price velocity: is the move accelerating or fading?
The interest rate gap, and the structural flow toward higher yield.
As of the latest daily update, the CAD/JPY fundamental bias is strongly bearish with low confidence. The bias comes from comparing the two currencies' composite macro scores: Canadian Dollar versus Japanese Yen across COT positioning, EMA trend structure, momentum, interest-rate differentials, and seasonality.
Calendar-month tendency, weighted by how consistent it has been across ~27 years.
Each currency gets a -100 to +100 composite score from five weighted layers: EMA structure (32%), COT positioning (27%), momentum (18%), rate differentials (13%), and seasonality (10%). The CAD/JPY bias is the divergence: CAD score minus JPY score. A large positive divergence reads bullish, a large negative one bearish. The full formula is public on the methodology page.
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