USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
Reading COT positioning...Checking the trend...Measuring momentum...Weighing interest rates...Ranking 28 pairs...
US Dollar is the stronger currency on macro fundamentals right now, and Swiss Franc the weaker. That maps to a strongly bullish lean on USD/CHF.
Strong bull
USD
CHF
USD score minus CHF score = +112.8
USD
US Dollar
Both USD and CHF are scored -100 to +100 on these five layers. The gap between them sets the label. Full formulas on the methodology page.
20/50/200 EMA alignment: is the trend stacked bullish or bearish?
How large speculators are positioned in CFTC futures data.
Recent price velocity: is the move accelerating or fading?
The interest rate gap, and the structural flow toward higher yield.
As of the latest daily update, the USD/CHF fundamental bias is strongly bullish with medium confidence. The bias comes from comparing the two currencies' composite macro scores: US Dollar versus Swiss Franc across COT positioning, EMA trend structure, momentum, interest-rate differentials, and seasonality.
CHF
Swiss Franc
Calendar-month tendency, weighted by how consistent it has been across ~27 years.
Each currency gets a -100 to +100 composite score from five weighted layers: EMA structure (32%), COT positioning (27%), momentum (18%), rate differentials (13%), and seasonality (10%). The USD/CHF bias is the divergence: USD score minus CHF score. A large positive divergence reads bullish, a large negative one bearish. The full formula is public on the methodology page.
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